Hey guys and gals- Just wanted to give you my latest thoughts on the changing forecast for us over the next couple of days. With temps heading down, the freezing level (or snow level, basically) also comes down. I wanted to give you an early estimate and idea as to what to expect, especially by Thursday. Read on. You might need to refer to a map if you're not completely familiar with the local geography.
Tomorrow (Wednesday, Oct 26) will bring scattered rain and snow showers across southern Vermont and New Hampshire. This should remain as rain for the valleys, and mix with snow over the mountains above 2000' or so- this really wont accumulate to anything too significant, perhaps an inch in the mountains near Killington and surrounding southern Green Mtns/Taconics). Timing tomorrow, light and scattered throughout the day, basically from Middlebury to White River Junction and points southward. It will be chilly tomorrow, 40s.
Thursday is really the day to watch with potential for our first accumulating snowfall, mainly from the central and southern Adirondacks, through central VT (mainly areas south of a line from Burlington to St Johnsbury), extended over to the southern White Mountains in New Hamshire. We will likely see rain and snow mixed in Burlington, but little or no snow accumulation for us at this time. Early estimates of snow accumulation, I am think a sloppy 1-3" in southern valleys, for places like Rutland, Springfield, Bennington, and Brattleboro, but mixed with rain at times. In the mountains, there is likely potential for 2-5", maybe more at the highest peaks (Mt. Marcy & Killington included).
It will definitely be a chilly, raw day for Thursday with early high temps (around 9am perhaps) in the lower to mid 40s, then with precipitation, temperatures will come down into the 30s and hold there for most of the day.
Wind is not of particular concern for this event Thursday. Wind in the valleys shold be relatively light out of the north, less than 10 mph. In the higher terrain, wind may be nearer 15-25 mph over 2500' elevation. Biggest impacts will likely be a few power outages, and winter driving conditions (which always tend to trick people the first snow of the season). Enough to shovel? Sure, but mainly if you live above 1500' elevation.
Just thought I'd give you an idea! Will continue to monitor and tweak the forecast when we get closer and closer.
