FOX44 - Burlington / Plattsburgh News, Weather & Sports11.28.11 Mild Weather Will Continue

11.28.11 Mild Weather Will Continue

Was anyone totally taken off guard when temps this morning were in the 50s? Hello, late November, are you there? Keeping in mind, average low temp for the date is 27, average high temp is 40...we will be quite mild for the next few days under the current atmospheric setup.

Temperatures this morning for many locations in northern NY and western Vermont were in the low and mid 50s to start the day... Rutland, VT even reached 61 briefly! Eastern Vermont and New Hampshire held colder in the upper 30s to mid 40s this AM (still mild for this time of year as averages are in the 20s). Warm air has not been mixing in across the CT River Valley as readily as western VT (see Steve Glazier's blog for those details).

Up and down the east coast, mild weather will continue as a large trough of low pressure digs down from central Canada all the way to Gulf states. The northerly flow on the back edge of this trough is bringing cold air all the way down to Texas and Louisiana where temps this morning were in the 30s and frost and freeze warnings were in effect. Meanwhile, warmth continues to flow in from the south on the leading side (eastern side) of that trough....where we sit.  

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Surprisingly, our forecast for today does not appear to be near record for the date. On this date in 1990, the daily high temperatures was near 70 degrees in many places! I am forecasting that we stay in the mid and upper 50s today, with SOME of the warmest valleys reaching the low 60s...not quite good enough for daily records.

As the trough lifts to the north and east by midweek, one solid shot of rain late Tuesday and Wednesday will open up the flood gates to colder air, currently located in the central and western US. Temperatures should settle back in to more typical numbers, in the lower 40s by Thursday, lasting through the weekend.

Long range outlooks still show a mild trend continuing for the 8-14 day period over northern New England.  The pattern of warmth that has been in place for most of November will likely continue through early December before a colder trend develops. For more on global temp/precip patterns and teleconnections, visit the Climate Prediction Center website.